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The Borrower Truth Test: What a Lender Should Verify Before Trusting the Financial Statements

A lender should verify revenue, receivables, inventory, liabilities and promoter exposure before relying on a borrower’s financial statements.

By Ashish Jaiswal••6 MIN READ

Financial statements are management’s representation. They are prepared by the borrower, audited by the borrower’s auditor and presented to the lender as evidence of creditworthiness. The lender sanctions a facility based on these representations. The facility disburses. The money leaves the lender’s control.

If the representations were inaccurate, the lender discovers it when the account deteriorates. This discovery always occurs after the money has been deployed, after the security has been accepted, after the sanction note has been filed. The discovery is expensive because it arrives late.

The Borrower Truth Test is a pre-lending verification that subjects the borrower’s financial representations to independent testing before the sanction decision. The test does not replace the credit appraisal. It provides the credit appraisal with verified inputs rather than accepted representations, so the sanction decision is based on confirmed data rather than on claims that nobody challenged.

The five verification layers

Layer 1: Revenue verification. The borrower reports Rs 50 crore of revenue. The test subjects this figure to three independent cross-references.

GST verification: GSTR-1 aggregate for the review period compared to the reported revenue. A company reporting Rs 50 crore of revenue in its financial statements but declaring Rs 42 crore in GSTR-1 has an Rs 8 crore gap that requires explanation before the lender sanctions a facility calculated on Rs 50 crore.

Banking verification: total credits in the borrower’s bank accounts compared to reported collections. Revenue that has been earned and recognised in the P&L but not collected in the bank generates receivables, not cash. A lender whose facility depends on cash generation needs to know how much of the reported revenue has actually converted to cash.

Customer confirmation: the top 10 customers, representing typically 40% to 60% of total revenue, are contacted directly to confirm the volume and value of their business with the borrower. A customer who confirms Rs 3 crore when the borrower claims Rs 5 crore has a Rs 2 crore discrepancy that requires investigation.

Revenue that is consistent across all three sources (financial statements, GST filings and banking credits) is credible. Revenue that diverges from any of them warrants investigation before sanction.

Layer 2: Receivable quality. A borrower’s receivable book of Rs 12 crore appears healthy in the aggregate. The test disaggregates it.

The receivable is aged by counterparty, not in aggregate. Counterparty-level ageing reveals concentration: if Rs 4 crore (33%) is owed by a single customer, the receivable quality depends on that customer’s creditworthiness. The counterparty is independently assessed: is it a genuine, operating entity? Does it have the financial capacity to pay? Has it paid previously, and how promptly?

Receivables older than 90 days are assessed for recoverability. A receivable that has been outstanding for 120 days without a payment or a concrete resolution plan is more likely to be a loss than an asset. The provision the borrower maintains against aged receivables is compared to the historical write-off rate. If the borrower has written off 8% of aged receivables historically but provisions at 3%, the balance sheet is overstating receivable quality by approximately Rs 60 lakh on every Rs 12 crore of receivables.

Receivable manipulation is also tested: does the borrower issue fresh invoices to “reset” the ageing clock? A debtor with a constant balance that never ages beyond 60 days, despite no payments, is a red flag for ageing manipulation through invoice cycling.

Layer 3: Inventory existence and condition. The borrower’s stock statement claims Rs 8 crore of inventory. The test deploys Northrop’s field team to physically verify.

The verification covers existence (is the inventory in the godown, in the quantities claimed?), condition (is it saleable, expired, damaged, or obsolete?) and valuation (does the carrying cost exceed the realisable value?). In Northrop’s experience, the gap between claimed stock and verified stock in mid-market manufacturing and trading borrowers ranges from 10% to 35%, primarily attributable to: goods dispatched but not removed from the statement, consignment stock recorded as owned, damaged goods at full cost and slow-moving inventory without adequate provision.

On Rs 8 crore of claimed stock, a 20% gap is Rs 1.6 crore of drawing power that the lender should not have extended.

Layer 4: Liability completeness. The borrower’s CMA data discloses Rs 15 crore of borrowing. The test determines the actual debt.

Bank confirmation letters are requested from every bank and NBFC the borrower has ever dealt with, not just the ones disclosed. Credit bureau reports (CIBIL, CRIF, Equifax) are pulled for the borrower entity and for every promoter personally to identify facilities the CMA data omits. Group entity borrowings are mapped: does any connected entity have debt that is guaranteed by the borrower or that the borrower is effectively servicing? Informal borrowings (inter-corporate deposits, structured trade credit, promoter loans routed through the business) are identified from the balance sheet and the bank statements.

In one pre-lending assessment, the disclosed borrowing was Rs 15 crore. The actual debt stack was Rs 27 crore. The DSCR calculated on Rs 15 crore was 1.6x. The DSCR on Rs 27 crore was 0.9x. The facility would have been sanctioned on false capacity.

Layer 5: Promoter and group exposure. The borrower does not exist in isolation. The promoter controls other entities, the entities transact with each other and the fund flows between them can sustain or drain the borrower’s cash.

The test maps every entity connected to the promoter through MCA filings (directorship, shareholding, registered address, common signatories). Fund flows between the borrower and connected entities are traced: is the borrower lending to group entities (reducing its own cash)? Is the borrower receiving funds from group entities (possibly inflating its apparent cash generation)? Are intercompany transactions at arm’s length?

The promoter’s personal financial position is assessed where personal guarantees are offered: property holdings (verified through registry records), investment holdings, other business interests and personal borrowings.

What the lender receives

A pre-sanction verification report covering each of the five layers: verified revenue (with variance against reported), verified receivable quality (aged, confirmed, assessed for recoverability), verified inventory (counted, conditioned, valued at realisable amount), verified liabilities (complete, including undisclosed), and promoter/group exposure map with fund flow analysis.

The report does not recommend whether to lend. It provides the credit committee with independently verified inputs. The committee makes the sanction decision on tested data rather than on accepted representations. The difference, in NPA-prevention terms, is the difference between lending on evidence and lending on faith.

Northrop applies this test in live lender and due diligence mandates. Business@NorthropIndia.com | +91 92899 25657.

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